0xniccc
0x2af9983deff28b18ed88622122f38712cd9c7816
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $436.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.139 | $436.89 | −$27.49 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| UFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by KO/TKO/DQ? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-168.49at 0.940Bitcoin above $110K on August 22?
- +$-263.44at 0.930Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 09:15 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1477448689 | $464.38 |
| 08-22 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22? | SELL | 0.44 | $236.56 |
| 08-22 12:06 | Bitcoin above $110K on August 22? | SELL | 0.8872066878 | $2.8k |
| 08-22 06:14 | Bitcoin above $110K on August 22? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.0k |
| 08-21 12:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22? | BUY | 0.93 | $500.00 |
| 08-20 01:18 | UFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by KO/TKO/DQ? | BUY | 0.7 | $98.28 |
| 08-19 14:51 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | SELL | 0.1404097714 | $98.29 |
| 08-17 15:09 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.0k |
| 08-17 14:55 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-08 15:31 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.1047752679 | $500.00 |