pigmans
0x2af7c3b0c1e49453efa3761362235658d87237e2
- Realised P&L
- $-271.90
- Volume
- $53.8k
- Markets traded
- 7,066
- Open portfolio
- $84.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,066
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Ballkani (-1.5) · Connahs Quay Nomads FC | 0.530 | 1.000 | $5.41 | +$2.54 |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) · Côte dIvoire | 0.780 | 1.000 | $5.09 | +$1.12 |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) · Côte dIvoire | 0.770 | 1.000 | $5.09 | +$1.17 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos · NC Dinos | 0.430 | 0.573 | $4.98 | +$1.24 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.480 | 0.785 | $4.61 | +$1.79 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · LG Twins | 0.500 | 0.780 | $4.39 | +$1.58 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.665 | $4.20 | +$0.85 |
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05? · No | 0.810 | 0.815 | $4.15 | +$0.02 |
| Chunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.370 | 0.495 | $3.71 | +$0.94 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.600 | 0.700 | $3.65 | +$0.52 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears | 0.550 | 0.585 | $3.47 | +$0.21 |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · No | 0.640 | 0.670 | $3.41 | +$0.15 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions · KT Wiz | 0.530 | 0.525 | $3.18 | −$0.03 |
| Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.445 | $3.05 | +$0.17 |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.510 | $3.01 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.12at 0.510Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$28.42at 0.490Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$26.60at 0.414Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
- +$26.44at 0.602Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$25.35at 0.383Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 21:33 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | SELL | 0.54 | $3.38 |
| 07-24 19:23 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.55 | $3.44 |
| 07-07 19:29 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.66 | $5.04 |
| 06-28 16:50 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | SELL | 0.55 | $6.57 |
| 06-13 03:10 | Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.08 |
| 06-06 19:55 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.53 | $8.47 |
| 05-24 18:05 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.48 |
| 05-19 20:29 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.89 |
| 05-17 18:59 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.60 |
| 05-17 14:59 | Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-17? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 05-17 11:25 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | SELL | 0.37 | $5.43 |
| 05-16 13:28 | UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.54 | $3.30 |
| 04-08 07:14 | Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $2.47 |
| 04-08 03:37 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 04-08 03:37 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |