PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

2126ttc

0x2af5fc7731e7757c6dd5c6f898ccba074f3682de

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$318.24

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? · Yes0.1400.150$107.06+$7.06
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8200.955$95.50+$13.50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5890.225$76.40$123.60
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.2100.055$39.29$110.71
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$50.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$110.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 16:14Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?BUY0.1401091345$100.00
06-06 02:40Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?BUY0.2099999968$50.00
06-06 02:39Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?BUY0.0373652688$50.00
06-06 02:39Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.6268656714$100.00
06-06 02:38Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.1103171342$100.00
06-05 18:26Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.277$8.31
06-05 18:26Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.24$45.07
06-05 18:26Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?BUY0.2099999984$100.00
06-05 18:25Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5554657312$100.00
06-04 23:12Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.1$10.00
04-07 23:02Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?BUY0.9528011148$661.77
04-07 23:01US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.9599999962$100.00
04-07 23:00US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.958$100.00
04-07 22:58US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.9699999998$100.00
04-07 22:57US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.9429999998$100.00