PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

glenndefile

0x2af47b5b29d5ce8160cff1a0c27f381769c142ca

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$19.3k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes0.0770.276$717.55+$517.55
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? · Yes0.2370.355$525.11+$175.11
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · Yes0.2040.505$494.33+$294.33
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? · Yes0.1370.176$257.12+$57.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 08:51Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?BUY0.4317201064$100.00
09-10 08:50Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?BUY0.2682300731$100.00
09-10 08:50Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?BUY0.4112009832$250.00
09-10 08:48Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?BUY0.1338252527$100.00
09-10 08:48Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?BUY0.1147825588$100.00
09-10 08:47Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?BUY0.0769283675$200.00
09-10 08:47Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?BUY0.0919034744$100.00
09-10 08:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.16$1.0k
09-02 20:32Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1499999999$959.20