glenndefile
0x2af47b5b29d5ce8160cff1a0c27f381769c142ca
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.276 | $717.55 | +$517.55 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.355 | $525.11 | +$175.11 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.505 | $494.33 | +$294.33 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.176 | $257.12 | +$57.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.04at 0.155Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 08:51 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | BUY | 0.4317201064 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 08:50 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.2682300731 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 08:50 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.4112009832 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 08:48 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | BUY | 0.1338252527 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 08:48 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.1147825588 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 08:47 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | BUY | 0.0769283675 | $200.00 |
| 09-10 08:47 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.0919034744 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 08:42 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.0k |
| 09-02 20:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $959.20 |