bi0hack
0x2af3b1d8fed9c25d6e55888eb73bdd84c470bcb4
- Realised P&L
- $-198.60
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $7.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.415 | $2.37 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.475 | $2.15 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.255 | $1.44 | −$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.485 | $1.41 | +$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 9? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.02at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?
- +$13.04at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 8?
- +$12.40at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 20?
- +$12.33at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?
- +$10.84at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.91 |
| 08-04 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4499999118 | $2.04 |
| 08-04 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2699999005 | $1.52 |
| 08-04 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3799999124 | $2.17 |
| 08-04 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4199999311 | $1.22 |
| 08-04 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.22 |
| 08-03 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.69 |
| 08-03 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.73 |
| 08-03 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.389999821 | $1.22 |
| 08-02 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.26 |
| 08-02 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.3399998547 | $1.17 |
| 08-02 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.13 |
| 08-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2799999067 | $1.80 |
| 08-02 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2999999162 | $1.79 |