PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2af01Ed18869D9b35F9a7dE71C7A565D806FB2A8-1772538025690

0x2af01ed18869d9b35f9a7de71c7a565d806fb2a8

Realised P&L
$18.4k
Volume
$142.0k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.9560.966$1.7k+$17.14
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8010.659$619.46−$133.72
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6570.635$614.06−$21.57
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · No0.7060.770$494.33+$41.07
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5200.435$216.63−$42.61
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.4800.300$150.00−$90.00
Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026? · No0.5001.000$138.00+$69.00
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3320.230$115.00−$50.80
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? · No0.3990.565$70.13+$20.56
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.2800.055$5.50−$22.50
Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$21.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? · No0.5860.000$0.00−$58.64
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$10.23
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? · No0.4330.000$0.00−$64.96
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? · No0.0110.000$0.00−$1.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 08:28Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?BUY0.71$85.19
09-09 09:13Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94792$236.98
09-09 09:12Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?BUY0.88$35.20
09-09 09:12Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9295$37.18
09-09 06:54Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?BUY0.8730758808$64.43
09-09 06:54Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5854649075$74.99
09-05 02:30OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.28$28.00
09-04 05:46Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$69.00
09-04 05:43Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.931$32.59
09-04 05:42Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.92$32.20
09-04 05:39Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?BUY0.68$33.99
09-04 05:39Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?BUY0.4592946589$22.96
09-04 02:23Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?BUY0.7071923077$183.87
09-04 02:22Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9675076667$580.50
09-04 02:18Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?BUY0.492942$24.65