fit.aladin
0x2aed0a1b646a5d1debf7e736f42d9f96f7fb9d4e
- Realised P&L
- $-136.16
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $377.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.950 | 0.965 | $347.40 | +$5.30 |
| Will "Puss in Boots: The Last Wish" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.960 | 0.955 | $19.10 | −$0.10 |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week? · No | 0.900 | 0.530 | $5.83 | −$4.07 |
| Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.990 | 0.964 | $4.82 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.22at 0.704Will "Untold Raygun: Breaking Badly" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
- +$93.06at 0.917Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$88.99at 0.864Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week?
- +$35.40at 0.146Will "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
- +$32.55at 0.900Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:20 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.97 | $116.40 |
| 09-18 12:09 | Will "Puss in Boots: The Last Wish" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 09-18 12:08 | Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 11:48 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $115.20 |
| 09-18 11:48 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.00 |
| 09-18 11:47 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 09-18 11:46 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 09-15 14:23 | Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.96 |
| 09-15 12:18 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9967665896 | $202.63 |
| 09-15 12:18 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 14 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9968051948 | $153.51 |
| 09-15 12:18 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9965967704 | $170.34 |
| 09-14 12:36 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-13 14:39 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9896092917 | $12.99 |
| 09-13 14:38 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9614137606 | $40.80 |
| 09-13 09:49 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.7899269 | $78.99 |