PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Lacedcron

0x2aeae5c9db6066b63e03907b34b1dfb1045d518f

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$283.8k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$460.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.141$404.29+$304.29
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0060.004$49.54−$30.44
Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos0.3500.315$4.50−$0.50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1800.032$2.63−$12.37
Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers0.3730.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$8.98
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$599.98
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$20.00
49ers vs. Falcons · 49ers0.2880.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$5.00
Colts vs. Seahawks · Colts0.3090.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$20.00
Seahawks vs. Falcons · Falcons0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:17Chiefs vs. BroncosBUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-25 19:1249ers vs. FalconsBUY0.16$5.00
10-25 18:4849ers vs. FalconsBUY0.4799999846$10.00
10-25 17:00Rams vs. RaidersBUY0.3899999945$10.00
10-18 22:53Bills vs. RaidersBUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-18 20:28Bills vs. RaidersBUY0.3099999954$10.00
10-16 03:04Seahawks vs. BroncosBUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-11 23:5549ers vs. SeahawksSELL0.999$54.64
10-11 22:5049ers vs. SeahawksBUY0.3299999924$10.00
10-11 19:5949ers vs. SeahawksBUY0.4099999984$10.00
09-17 01:15Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0046209867$50.00
09-15 01:25Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1799999986$15.00
09-11 18:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
09-11 03:4149ers vs. RamsSELL0.999$36.99
09-11 01:2349ers vs. RamsBUY0.269999993$10.00
Trader Lacedcron · PolyBot Pro