curryfromuestc
0x2aea92ca83d4557a4eeb7fe64b3190338d75e65e
- Realised P&L
- $-99.52
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $320.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.485 | $290.83 | −$9.17 |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.270 | $30.00 | +$0.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.98at 0.875Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$5.64at 0.470Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$5.46at 0.049Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
- +$3.26at 0.86076ers vs. Thunder
- +$3.13at 0.860Trail Blazers vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 08:00 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 10:20 | Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5009026065 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 06:08 | Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 06-30 06:58 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.88 |
| 06-23 02:52 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 01:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9779999993 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 01:40 | Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.1394713276 | $8.88 |
| 06-10 07:09 | Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0471327573 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 07:09 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 06-08 01:59 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999848 | $40.00 |
| 06-08 01:58 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999859 | $50.00 |
| 12-30 04:05 | Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.8599999964 | $19.20 |
| 12-29 03:29 | Hawks vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.9 | $18.80 |
| 12-28 01:35 | 76ers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 12-25 05:17 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.7499999719 | $20.00 |