0x2aE382F354B9B7B682D035ec31086C176226372A-1779299982327
0x2ae382f354b9b7b682d035ec31086c176226372a
- Realised P&L
- $-396.60
- Volume
- $142.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,214
- Open portfolio
- $33.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,214
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.82at 0.176Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 28?
- +$89.21at 0.316Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?
- +$84.16at 0.139Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 29?
- +$70.77at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?
- +$70.68at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 12:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $35.00 |
| 10-14 11:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9899999749 | $28.00 |
| 10-14 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.997 | $46.00 |
| 10-14 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.7470454513 | $34.60 |
| 10-14 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.7166836423 | $35.18 |
| 10-13 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.8699999967 | $24.00 |
| 10-13 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 09:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9 | $0.01 |
| 10-13 09:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.16 |
| 10-13 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9770694572 | $42.00 |
| 10-13 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.34 |
| 10-13 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $41.79 |
| 10-13 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.98 | $41.00 |