0x2aDAE118c0A16f0C8CB655a3cA8CaCe6345c03B6-1779409626001
0x2adae118c0a16f0c8cb655a3ca8cace6345c03b6
- Realised P&L
- $-73.14
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $36.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.0188643153 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.0075379225 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3111932219 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0309999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $22.82 |
| 09-22 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999983 | $25.00 |
| 07-03 20:34 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999952 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 20:33 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0359999989 | $30.00 |
| 06-08 00:51 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $15.00 |