wowfarm
0x2ada299aaaf27c806424ec6dcb0c169d1a9c2f28
- Realised P&L
- $47.8k
- Volume
- $48.78M
- Markets traded
- 9,235
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,235
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.975 | $3.9k | +$58.00 |
| Indiana vs. Michigan · Indiana | 0.730 | 0.735 | $82.77 | +$0.56 |
| Cowboys vs. Packers · Cowboys | 0.170 | 0.045 | $1.08 | −$3.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.2k |
| Hurricanes vs. Flames · Hurricanes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Cardinals vs. Rams · Rams | 0.794 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Hawks vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.932 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.7k |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.988 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Dodgers vs. Orioles · Dodgers | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Marlins vs. Phillies · Phillies | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.751 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Flames vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.7kat 0.780Twins vs. Orioles
- +$16.1kat 0.372Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina
- +$15.1kat 0.979Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$14.9kat 0.172Nets vs. Pistons
- +$13.1kat 0.675Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 01:52 | Hurricanes vs. Flames | BUY | 0.6 | $82.18 |
| 10-18 23:58 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.99 | $138.37 |
| 10-18 23:41 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.94 | $336.89 |
| 10-18 23:17 | Chargers vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 10-18 22:52 | Cardinals vs. Rams | BUY | 0.78 | $1.6k |
| 10-18 20:49 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.005 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 20:48 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.45 |
| 10-18 17:21 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.97 | $68.82 |
| 10-18 17:18 | Will Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.94 | $256.00 |
| 10-18 16:57 | Jets vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 10-18 03:33 | San Jose State vs. UTEP | BUY | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 10-17 22:42 | Auburn vs. Georgia | BUY | 0.652996875 | $1.0k |
| 10-17 18:19 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.994 | $790.98 |
| 10-17 03:28 | Washington vs. Purdue | BUY | 0.0066518348 | $3.82 |
| 10-16 19:49 | Mississippi State vs. LSU | BUY | 0.85 | $136.00 |