0x2ad88570f1167b3627ea8edf4dfa17accc0f605d
0x2ad88570f1167b3627ea8edf4dfa17accc0f605d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $52.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W50 Lexington, SC: Briley Rhoden vs Katherine Hui · Briley Rhoden | 0.350 | 1.000 | $492.44 | +$320.00 |
| Will St. Kitts and Nevis win on 2026-10-05? · No | 0.580 | 0.910 | $422.18 | +$153.10 |
| Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers · Hiroshima Carp | 0.176 | 0.995 | $316.52 | +$260.42 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins · Kia Tigers | 0.756 | 0.996 | $58.62 | +$14.12 |
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.600 | 1.000 | $33.28 | +$13.31 |
| W15 Cipolletti: Marina Bulbarella vs Abril Pajello · Abril Pajello | 0.790 | 1.000 | $28.69 | +$6.01 |
| W50 Lexington, SC: Anna Frey vs Bella Bergqvist Larsson · Bella Bergqvist Larsson | 0.440 | 0.475 | $18.59 | +$1.37 |
| Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw? · No | 0.790 | 0.205 | $8.00 | −$22.81 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins · Kia Tigers | 0.320 | 0.502 | $2.51 | +$0.91 |
| Pallacanestro Cantu vs. Amici Pallacanestro Udinese · Pallacanestro Cantu | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.540Cowboys vs. Texans
- +$956.94at 0.400Chargers vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
- +$559.93at 0.660Rams vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5
- +$516.49at 0.387Cardinals vs. Giants
- +$494.92at 0.752Broncos vs. 49ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:30 | Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.79 | $30.81 |
| 10-05 22:21 | W15 Cipolletti: Marina Bulbarella vs Abril Pajello | BUY | 0.79 | $22.67 |
| 10-05 21:59 | W50 Lexington, SC: Anna Frey vs Bella Bergqvist Larsson | BUY | 0.44 | $17.22 |
| 10-05 21:24 | Will St. Kitts and Nevis win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.5799999994 | $269.08 |
| 10-05 20:28 | Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt | BUY | 0.38 | $177.84 |
| 10-05 20:27 | Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $411.30 |
| 10-05 20:26 | Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw? | BUY | 0.567394095 | $22.10 |
| 10-05 20:23 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6 | $19.97 |
| 10-05 20:14 | Will Córdoba CF vs. CD Tenerife end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4499999852 | $3.05 |
| 10-05 19:56 | Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt | BUY | 0.56 | $14.00 |
| 10-05 19:52 | Pallacanestro Cantu vs. Amici Pallacanestro Udinese | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $3.33 |
| 10-05 19:08 | W50 Lexington, SC: Briley Rhoden vs Katherine Hui | BUY | 0.3499999995 | $172.44 |
| 10-05 16:26 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6700170824 | $305.94 |
| 10-05 16:19 | W50 Heraklion: Sofia Kryvoruchko vs Simona Ogescu | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 10-05 16:11 | Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller | BUY | 0.74 | $367.04 |