Joelaf
0x2ad77e2856732c1709c36b24003de4ec1203896c
- Realised P&L
- $-104.03
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $37.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No | 0.337 | 0.150 | $22.28 | −$27.72 |
| Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.003 | $7.69 | −$27.31 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.025 | $6.33 | −$43.67 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.041 | $1.69 | −$5.31 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-25 20:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999823 | $7.00 |
| 02-25 20:09 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.3366336606 | $50.00 |
| 02-25 20:09 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.1975398388 | $50.00 |
| 02-25 20:07 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.0113803466 | $35.00 |