0x2ad57dfd49ee4ef14938156b384d4f536adc4851
0x2ad57dfd49ee4ef14938156b384d4f536adc4851
- Realised P&L
- $-10.73
- Volume
- $163.58
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $4.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.875 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.967 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.140 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.360US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.46at 0.470Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.94at 0.510S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.67at 0.642Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:55 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:23 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:36 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:11 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:11 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 11:41 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 03:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:59 | Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:58 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 09:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |