wolfkissed
0x2ad0d578a31fe466b067417d888f5dc6af9489d2
- Realised P&L
- $-45.07
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $9.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? · No | 0.570 | 1.000 | $8.17 | +$3.51 |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? · No | 0.600 | 0.102 | $0.85 | −$4.15 |
| Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.65 |
| Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Major US official out by May 31? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.34at 0.567Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
- +$8.49at 0.561Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$7.69at 0.548Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$7.04at 0.565Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.86at 0.570Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 22:20 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6239292343 | $5.38 |
| 05-25 22:20 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $5.69 |
| 05-01 21:28 | Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 05-01 21:27 | Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 05-01 21:25 | US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $6.16 |
| 05-01 21:25 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $6.33 |
| 05-01 21:25 | Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.75 | $6.12 |
| 05-01 21:25 | Will Russia enter Borova by May 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $6.25 |
| 05-01 21:24 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $6.40 |
| 05-01 21:24 | Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $6.41 |
| 05-01 21:24 | Kash Patel out by May 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $6.58 |
| 05-01 21:23 | Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $6.25 |
| 05-01 21:23 | Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.53 |
| 05-01 21:23 | Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.94 |
| 05-01 21:23 | Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.94 |