PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x9ba93c5F49b17B1661B34D56464dD46722934612-1773153653321

0x2ad08998ed0f747d32df97ec14de0310eca7c718

Realised P&L
$-151.41
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$755.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8060.915$366.00+$43.68
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? · No0.8000.885$265.50+$25.50
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8300.966$124.34+$17.45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$62.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 05:44Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.61$122.00
08-25 05:34Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.032$3.84
08-10 21:42Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.05$15.85
07-31 22:35Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.72$144.00
07-30 22:04Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.289999971$7.00
07-30 22:03Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.58$116.00
07-30 22:03Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.29$58.00
07-30 21:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.5894684478$185.33
07-21 13:46Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.74$137.79
07-07 17:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
07-05 21:01Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.72$35.76
07-05 20:44Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.69$207.00
07-01 21:05Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?BUY0.8$6.00
06-28 22:38Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.805812$322.32
06-27 22:19Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?SELL0.88$756.80