0x2acf63de4ea357d7d514dba9b07ec9599450e7ae
0x2acf63de4ea357d7d514dba9b07ec9599450e7ae
- Realised P&L
- $-12.51
- Volume
- $131.99
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.265 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$2.29at 0.472Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
- +$1.79at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.66at 0.552Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
- +$1.15at 0.637Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 01:32 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:53 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 07:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 08:23 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 00:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 12:24 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 04:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 20:22 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 12:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 02:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 18:45 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.6699996951 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 10:44 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6279999573 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 02:06 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:58 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |