0x2acb580c59330128ba1ce4ce035bd33f1e77cf6e
0x2acb580c59330128ba1ce4ce035bd33f1e77cf6e
- Realised P&L
- $-16.39
- Volume
- $122.79
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.502Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.28at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.24at 0.592Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$1.00at 0.671Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$0.68at 0.748Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:14 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 14:37 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 10:26 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:50 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2879999159 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 12:23 | Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.47 |
| 07-26 00:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 12:10 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-25 00:09 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.62 |
| 07-23 12:09 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 00:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.7599996842 | $1.54 |
| 07-22 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.47 |