0x2abf5a6864f03fdaea4a51b028dd174c9606a413
- Realised P&L
- $-3.67
- Volume
- $116.24
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $12.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.440 | $3.14 | +$1.14 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.835 | $2.69 | +$0.69 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.955 | $2.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.465 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.195 | $0.85 | −$1.15 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.400 | 0.105 | $0.53 | −$1.48 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.075 | $0.48 | −$0.92 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.105 | $0.32 | −$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.17at 0.480Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.97at 0.360Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.510Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$1.08at 0.650Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?
- +$1.07at 0.650Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:55 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 10:52 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 01:47 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 05:45 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:43 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 17:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998314 | $1.11 |
| 08-02 06:29 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:28 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 13:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 02:39 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 18:37 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |