PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

armstrongtheresa

0x2abf34fb3b753e517ccc046bb4d4051dade245ea

Realised P&L
$-9.95
Volume
$20.4k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$62.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19? · No0.7701.000$41.67+$9.58
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.6500.435$12.48−$6.17
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 19 2026? · No0.6500.420$8.42−$4.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 01:55Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 26?BUY0.9609999989$19.42
01-31 14:08Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?BUY0.9809999886$10.50
01-30 14:52Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.997$11.40
01-30 13:17Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9933996163$19.69
01-30 12:53Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January?BUY0.999$29.78
12-30 10:23Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?BUY0.9979999649$8.41
12-30 02:35Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998999983$7.86
12-29 23:54Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.9969999965$19.49
12-29 21:29Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$9.19
12-29 20:21Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.997$27.95
10-31 00:44Ethereum all time high by October 31?BUY0.998$15.02
10-30 22:48Will Solana reach $250 in October?BUY0.999$22.63
10-30 18:07Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?BUY0.999$15.35
09-29 11:36Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?BUY0.9949999751$14.99
09-29 09:59Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9969999999$16.45