oensea
0x2abdfce66d936b487992e5728449d9aa65f0f2f0
- Realised P&L
- $115.78
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $73.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.190 | $73.19 | −$192.57 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.98at 0.120Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$9.37at 0.540Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch?
- +$9.24at 0.648Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
- +$3.45at 0.940Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$0.70at 0.940Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-14 12:07 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6898933067 | $265.76 |
| 12-15 23:26 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $63.78 |
| 12-15 23:26 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | SELL | 0.994 | $63.44 |
| 10-19 08:05 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $60.00 |
| 10-03 17:47 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $56.93 |
| 10-02 05:37 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 05:37 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $55.00 |
| 10-02 05:36 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.9753142451 | $41.22 |
| 09-17 01:58 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9699999811 | $41.00 |
| 08-08 17:11 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 03:40 | Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999872 | $11.00 |
| 05-31 20:55 | Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.0487562191 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 09:31 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BUY | 0.2459998539 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 17:19 | Litecoin ETF approved by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699999069 | $6.00 |
| 01-10 05:54 | Litecoin ETF approved by July 31? | BUY | 0.6999999936 | $11.00 |