0x2aBdd639Eb95a8B50AFA92446a36141E8bC4c7A3-1764796894257
0x2abdd639eb95a8b50afa92446a36141e8bc4c7a3
- Realised P&L
- $-193.28
- Volume
- $72.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,430
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,430
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) · Pittsburgh | 0.500 | 0.725 | $7.67 | +$2.38 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 17? · No | 0.906 | 0.993 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 17? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.020 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on September 17? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.013 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up | 0.748 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.77at 0.426XRP Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$73.85at 0.368Solana Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$56.00at 0.632Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12PM ET
- +$47.36at 0.698Solana Up or Down - February 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$46.30at 0.645Solana Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0727272727 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:20 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:42 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 17? | BUY | 0.905999942 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:28 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.04 |
| 09-17 14:27 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:18 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.17 |
| 09-17 14:17 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:56 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $1.26 |
| 09-17 13:56 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9809999961 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $2.15 |
| 09-16 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |