0x2ab7ca0c722d84afcb9081b29449fad99fff1628
- Realised P&L
- $-4.48
- Volume
- $55.87
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.695 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.865 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.265 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.74at 0.371Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?
- +$0.83at 0.550Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.679Will Trump say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during remarks at NASA?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:14 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:51 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 00:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:25 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 00:20 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 16:18 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:33 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:08 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:39 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3619998921 | $1.00 |