0x2Ab704C5267cEBA8B4F5387F84aB9871C0e7A5cF-1771997521718
0x2ab704c5267ceba8b4f5387f84ab9871c0e7a5cf
- Realised P&L
- $255.49
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$837.00at 0.163Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$117.24at 0.601Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$88.76at 0.970Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$64.00at 0.360US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$53.04at 0.894Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 06:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $192.00 |
| 07-17 22:41 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.446 | $133.80 |
| 07-04 01:23 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.594 | $174.64 |
| 05-21 01:29 | Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $161.37 |
| 05-20 07:34 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 05-08 04:03 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 04-27 23:43 | Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.78 |
| 04-27 08:07 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.0k |
| 04-27 07:54 | Lakers vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.999 | $3.1k |
| 04-27 03:22 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.98 | $97.88 |
| 04-25 02:01 | Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $9.69 |
| 04-25 01:59 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.54 |
| 04-25 01:56 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $9.77 |
| 04-25 01:56 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $9.63 |
| 04-24 05:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |