PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2Ab704C5267cEBA8B4F5387F84aB9871C0e7A5cF-1771997521718

0x2ab704c5267ceba8b4f5387f84ab9871c0e7a5cf

Realised P&L
$255.49
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) · Notre Dame0.4800.505$555.50+$27.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8000.960$239.88+$39.88
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.645$193.50+$1.50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2370.135$26.90−$20.50
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4460.026$7.95−$125.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$23.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$178.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$113.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$86.00
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$73.00
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$28.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$88.00
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$77.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 06:40Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.64$192.00
07-17 22:41Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.446$133.80
07-04 01:23Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.594$174.64
05-21 01:29Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?BUY0.968$161.37
05-20 07:34Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?BUY0.28$8.40
05-08 04:03Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.89$445.00
04-27 23:43Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?BUY0.08$2.78
04-27 08:07Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.997$4.0k
04-27 07:54Lakers vs. RocketsSELL0.999$3.1k
04-27 03:22Lakers vs. RocketsBUY0.98$97.88
04-25 02:01Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)BUY0.4799999827$9.69
04-25 01:59Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.6$10.54
04-25 01:56Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)BUY0.6199999864$9.77
04-25 01:56Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.389999986$9.63
04-24 05:02Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8$200.00