0x2ab58a3aa62d0146d521d243534ac8dc5c0936c0
0x2ab58a3aa62d0146d521d243534ac8dc5c0936c0
- Realised P&L
- $15.18
- Volume
- $226.71
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $2.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.595 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.665 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:58 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:24 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:37 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:57 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:53 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:26 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:25 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:23 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:37 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:26 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |