biloute
0x2ab07f720ad99930e0896f9b88a0bcb418bb95fb
- Realised P&L
- $225.29
- Volume
- $39.9k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.99at 0.154US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
- +$54.69at 0.972Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$50.26at 0.973Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$39.07at 0.980Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
- +$28.78at 0.982Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:09 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6479999482 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 08:57 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 10-09 21:56 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $98.50 |
| 10-09 21:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.891 | $26.73 |
| 10-08 11:51 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.515999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 19:13 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 10-06 19:12 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.459 | $22.95 |
| 10-04 19:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.645 | $6.45 |
| 10-04 19:53 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-04 19:52 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $197.80 |
| 10-04 19:48 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $198.20 |
| 10-04 19:45 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.971 | $194.20 |
| 10-04 19:43 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 10-01 11:52 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-01 11:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |