0x2aaec9949a9b2e08889e7238f48e56267369feed
0x2aaec9949a9b2e08889e7238f48e56267369feed
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $74.13
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $35.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.357 | 0.450 | $8.82 | +$1.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.683 | 0.745 | $7.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.815 | $5.99 | +$0.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? · No | 0.813 | 0.810 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? · No | 0.861 | 0.815 | $4.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.255 | $3.71 | −$1.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.005 | $0.06 | −$4.94 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3432756017 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8134274806 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.480392123 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8613178898 | $5.00 |