gilbertbeverly
0x2aad773827a63c63e944338444b020c56484c2d0
- Realised P&L
- $-16.87
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $69.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.810 | $32.52 | +$0.00 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.600 | 0.625 | $25.53 | +$1.02 |
| Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.595 | $11.90 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.22at 0.740Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$7.27at 0.609Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.88at 0.317Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
- +$5.38at 0.784Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.08at 0.660Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-01 13:51 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9875903243 | $36.16 |
| 01-31 14:38 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.56 |
| 01-31 14:37 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.998999921 | $9.26 |
| 01-30 16:00 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.14 |
| 01-30 15:57 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.86 |
| 01-30 12:16 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.94 |
| 01-30 11:53 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $40.67 |
| 12-30 08:58 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.41 |
| 12-30 08:34 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.993999959 | $15.50 |
| 12-29 19:42 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999831 | $15.72 |
| 12-29 19:07 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999902 | $15.93 |
| 12-29 18:55 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.76 |
| 10-31 15:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? | BUY | 0.998999992 | $25.77 |
| 10-31 15:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.02 |
| 09-29 18:00 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9890026965 | $11.92 |