PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

quanbay7

0x2aace1755620e16785f904ffb182d1d3fe49f597

Realised P&L
$0.65
Volume
$75.88
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5600.450$0.80−$0.20
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.4800.230$0.51−$0.55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$1.02
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs0.4300.000$0.00−$1.63
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.22
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$2.05
Jets vs. Rangers · Rangers0.5300.000$0.00−$1.14
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$2.88
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$1.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 19:38Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.4799998551$1.06
08-22 18:16Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
07-03 13:55Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999176$2.22
06-30 14:34Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.56$2.59
06-27 13:17Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2899999434$2.41
06-23 10:38Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4199998927$1.80
06-21 15:54Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.5799998868$2.05
06-20 15:45Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6299999844$2.82
05-28 09:36Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.6$2.79
05-17 08:39Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.4399998782$1.30
05-16 12:47Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.6199999856$1.72
05-16 09:16Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.3799999116$1.29
05-15 17:10Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.45$1.44
04-03 08:31Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.34$1.02
03-22 10:03Jets vs. RangersBUY0.5299998791$1.14