quanbay7
0x2aace1755620e16785f904ffb182d1d3fe49f597
- Realised P&L
- $0.65
- Volume
- $75.88
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.450 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.230 | $0.51 | −$0.55 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Islanders vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.63 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.22 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.05 |
| Jets vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.85at 0.296Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
- +$2.00at 0.567Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
- +$1.83at 0.607Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$1.74at 0.457Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$1.63at 0.447Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:38 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.4799998551 | $1.06 |
| 08-22 18:16 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 13:55 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999176 | $2.22 |
| 06-30 14:34 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.59 |
| 06-27 13:17 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2899999434 | $2.41 |
| 06-23 10:38 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.4199998927 | $1.80 |
| 06-21 15:54 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.5799998868 | $2.05 |
| 06-20 15:45 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6299999844 | $2.82 |
| 05-28 09:36 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.6 | $2.79 |
| 05-17 08:39 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4399998782 | $1.30 |
| 05-16 12:47 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.6199999856 | $1.72 |
| 05-16 09:16 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3799999116 | $1.29 |
| 05-15 17:10 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.45 | $1.44 |
| 04-03 08:31 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.02 |
| 03-22 10:03 | Jets vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5299998791 | $1.14 |