bill87
0x2aa482b8de7c32a10d3fd40510d057a119a1e47c
- Realised P&L
- $52.16
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $406.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.041 | $306.46 | −$16.18 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.190 | $51.30 | −$8.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? · No | 0.060 | 0.045 | $22.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.105 | $10.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? · No | 0.029 | 0.018 | $9.25 | −$5.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.021 | $4.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15? · No | 0.006 | 0.004 | $2.02 | −$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.85at 0.096Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?
- +$6.00at 0.470S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?
- +$-3.74at 0.005Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?
- +$-5.07at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?
- +$-17.88at 0.085Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 11:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 10-13 11:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.50 |
| 10-13 11:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.029 | $14.50 |
| 10-13 11:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 05:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 05:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 10-07 17:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? | BUY | 0.22 | $54.48 |
| 10-07 12:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.50 |
| 10-07 12:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.74 |
| 10-07 12:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 10-07 12:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 10-03 11:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $40.64 |
| 10-02 13:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0435980908 | $282.02 |