maxnuss
0x2a9fabfe51d3f9467689b3779e1a64e642e3801b
- Realised P&L
- $316.60
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $919.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.165 | $353.76 | +$253.76 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.595 | $156.58 | +$56.58 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.182 | $155.39 | +$55.39 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.064 | $148.51 | +$48.51 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $62.50 | −$37.50 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.145 | $42.01 | −$57.96 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.405 | $1.11 | −$0.61 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-12 01:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 02-12 01:08 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $96.72 |
| 02-12 01:08 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999943 | $100.00 |
| 02-12 00:58 | Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | BUY | 0.3450831895 | $99.97 |
| 09-25 20:44 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0465002136 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 15:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.117448202 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 15:25 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0427579898 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 15:25 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $100.00 |