ravendirk
0x2a9b591edd995603a516950b5c7a8fc8a77d0edd
- Realised P&L
- $-60.33
- Volume
- $197.94
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $4.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-30.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.735 | $4.80 | −$0.03 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.33 |
| Fort Worth: James Kent Trotter vs Gavin Young · James Kent Trotter | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.66 |
| Jazz vs. Suns · Suns | 0.619 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.80 |
| Fort Worth: Keegan Rice vs Sander Jong · Keegan Rice | 0.614 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.82 |
| Bucks vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.10 |
| Fort Worth: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Patrick Zahraj · Shunsuke Mitsui | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.49at 0.642European Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri
- +$4.93at 0.728Heat vs. Magic
- +$2.16at 0.818Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
- +$1.80at 0.842Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol
- +$0.13at 0.962Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:08 | Fort Worth: James Kent Trotter vs Gavin Young | BUY | 0.8 | $4.83 |
| 10-18 20:07 | Fort Worth: James Kent Trotter vs Gavin Young | BUY | 0.8199999864 | $4.83 |
| 10-18 18:49 | Fort Worth: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Patrick Zahraj | BUY | 0.6599999892 | $4.88 |
| 10-18 18:46 | Fort Worth: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Patrick Zahraj | BUY | 0.64 | $4.88 |
| 10-18 18:13 | Fort Worth: Keegan Rice vs Sander Jong | BUY | 0.5979999593 | $4.88 |
| 10-18 18:12 | Fort Worth: Keegan Rice vs Sander Jong | BUY | 0.6299999872 | $4.94 |
| 10-18 17:18 | European Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri | BUY | 0.6299999726 | $4.83 |
| 10-18 17:18 | European Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri | BUY | 0.6299999726 | $4.83 |
| 10-18 17:03 | Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol | SELL | 0.99 | $0.78 |
| 10-18 17:03 | Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol | SELL | 0.99 | $0.71 |
| 10-18 16:32 | Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol | BUY | 0.82 | $4.81 |
| 10-18 16:30 | Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol | BUY | 0.85 | $4.76 |
| 10-17 22:33 | Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild | BUY | 0.809999995 | $4.83 |
| 10-17 22:32 | Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild | BUY | 0.8099999814 | $4.78 |
| 10-17 19:23 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.01 |