yyyyz
0x2a97c8cfb0887337a8581afaf4989f03a6fe1f4b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $73.1k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$975.16at 0.069Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$966.70at 0.060EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$870.04at 0.876Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$550.01at 0.921Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$491.00at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 12:39 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $283.36 |
| 03-23 08:42 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2583458716 | $28.16 |
| 03-23 08:36 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $253.13 |
| 03-23 08:36 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $536.00 |
| 03-20 15:12 | Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5974201916 | $51.13 |
| 03-19 13:56 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.06 | $119.40 |
| 03-19 13:54 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.18 |
| 03-13 04:01 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.06625 | $1.33 |
| 03-13 03:48 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8895129794 | $152.14 |
| 03-13 03:44 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $47.30 |
| 03-13 03:44 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.96 |
| 03-13 03:43 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.4k |
| 03-13 03:40 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0613754693 | $4.90 |
| 03-13 03:38 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $204.37 |
| 03-12 07:49 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0691539769 | $86.69 |