0x2a95709765eef8c5ffa2c845d4599e8f003d7a22
0x2a95709765eef8c5ffa2c845d4599e8f003d7a22
- Realised P&L
- $-5.97
- Volume
- $68.68
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $6.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.650 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.525 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? · No | 0.780 | 0.795 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.415 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.555 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.190 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.086 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.012 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.500US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.80at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.632Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.43at 0.701Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?
- +$0.42at 0.708Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:45 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:17 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:07 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 01:35 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:56 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:55 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:53 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:20 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:13 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |