middle6
0x2a883b71212a54bb5b816e45d52320660f9625bc
- Realised P&L
- $253.43
- Volume
- $83.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $53.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.995 | 0.992 | $27.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $12.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.981 | 0.975 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 7? · No | 0.988 | 0.978 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.20at 0.520Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss
- +$18.24at 0.430Knicks vs. Heat
- +$1.14at 0.951Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.05at 0.570Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.71at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9879999974 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 13:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 10-06 13:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9949999829 | $28.00 |
| 09-21 01:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.00 |
| 09-21 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.990999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.70 |
| 07-27 02:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 07-05 03:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.992 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.9699999968 | $6.00 |
| 06-26 02:30 | Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9759999969 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.8899999881 | $6.00 |