PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

songsong103

0x2a86daa185fe33c4457ab4d808ebbd0f8880f2ee

Realised P&L
$-179.85
Volume
$12.5k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$85.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4930.482$53.28−$1.20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.655$20.30−$0.15
Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points? · Yes0.0070.022$5.85+$3.99
Will Harry Kane win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.0400.021$4.20−$3.80
Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points? · Yes0.0050.006$1.49+$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:17Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points?BUY0.012$0.07
10-05 21:16Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points?BUY0.008$1.00
10-05 21:05Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points?BUY0.002$0.13
10-05 21:05Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points?BUY0.001$0.05
10-05 20:52Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.66$7.26
10-05 20:49Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.66$13.20
10-05 20:45Will Harry Kane win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.04$8.00
09-15 19:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.09$5.76
09-10 18:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.35$5.95
09-10 15:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.37$11.84
08-30 11:52Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.53$10.60
08-30 11:18Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?SELL0.0281947897$14.41
08-28 08:16Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.065$1.95
08-26 18:59Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.11$6.71
08-26 18:57Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.104$0.18