0x2a8656f6ada6d831afa7a48fd4fb0dd8c5c9166e
0x2a8656f6ada6d831afa7a48fd4fb0dd8c5c9166e
- Realised P&L
- $2.01
- Volume
- $205.16
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $6.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.957 | $1.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No | 0.600 | 0.720 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.360 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.340 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.260 | 0.200 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.83at 0.258Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2?
- +$2.36at 0.359Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.99at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:54 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:53 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:49 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:36 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:25 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:24 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:24 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:14 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |