ThunderTakerVinccenzo
0x2a864f2c4fec040b7c2356d10aaec4dfd5ed75ca
- Realised P&L
- $-392.92
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $1.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.880 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| BNB Up or Down - October 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Up | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| BNB Up or Down - October 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.75at 0.925Solana Up or Down - July 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$9.72at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$9.40at 0.790Solana Up or Down - July 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$8.68at 0.920Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$5.67at 0.617Solana Up or Down - July 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:22 | Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 22:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.692 | $7.90 |
| 10-25 20:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 20:08 | BNB Up or Down - October 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 20:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 19:57 | BNB Up or Down - October 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 19:47 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 19:42 | BNB Up or Down - October 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 19:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $3.87 |
| 10-14 19:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 19:39 | BNB Up or Down - October 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 19:32 | BNB Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:27 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $1.89 |
| 10-14 19:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |