0x2a8537Fed0E0ad24869ecd1A11f20Cb96eBA54c1-1776677063080
0x2a8537fed0e0ad24869ecd1a11f20cb96eba54c1
- Realised P&L
- $-135.61
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 745
- Open portfolio
- $27.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded745
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.51at 0.104Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?
- +$14.02at 0.145MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$11.92at 0.083Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?
- +$11.13at 0.351Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.44at 0.466Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-23 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.80 |
| 09-22 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.04 |
| 09-22 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.26 |
| 09-22 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 09-22 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.20 |
| 09-22 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.80 |
| 09-22 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-22 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.38 |
| 09-22 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.04 |
| 09-22 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.07 |
| 09-22 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.984 | $3.96 |
| 09-22 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9809999996 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.96 |