Alrushoudsalem
0x2a818e91e86cfc55a3dd81da34aeb0ba753ea8fc
- Realised P&L
- $-10.5k
- Volume
- $505.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,662
- Open portfolio
- $14.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,662
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.840 | $10.50 | +$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? · Up | 0.260 | 0.045 | $1.73 | −$8.27 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.045 | $1.41 | −$3.59 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.045 | $0.53 | −$1.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.04at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1PM ET
- +$216.44at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ET
- +$166.62at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7AM ET
- +$147.77at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6PM ET
- +$147.20at 0.524Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 11:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 11:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $0.18 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $0.07 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $0.72 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $0.12 |
| 10-12 03:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $0.70 |
| 10-12 03:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $0.27 |
| 10-12 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $0.24 |
| 10-12 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |