HippoBettus
0x2a77d3e3a656406729b5adcaf92fc2f4b35240e9
- Realised P&L
- $-830.99
- Volume
- $63.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.034 | $1.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Down | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$402.38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$244.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Down | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.18at 0.755Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$54.37at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$46.45at 0.409Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$25.61at 0.458Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$25.23at 0.948Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3173198676 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5399474131 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8495354154 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | SELL | 0.3043736394 | $30.76 |
| 04-30 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |