elmarertgf4
0x2a772ca532673d84e417315c59e874a23930e04e
- Realised P&L
- $3.66
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $99.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.998 | $49.88 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? · No | 0.961 | 0.968 | $49.37 | +$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.61at 0.979Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.988Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?
- +$0.53at 0.950Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?
- +$0.36at 0.967Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.993Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 11:22 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |