PolyBot

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Traders

2828KKF

0x2a759ad74b6a7df69e21110ec3f64a9311f2bc59

Realised P&L
$-99.21
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$14.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? · Yes0.2700.330$6.11+$1.11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No0.7090.709$5.00−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21? · Yes0.0370.045$3.68+$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 07:57Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.7089999766$5.00
10-20 07:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.559999776$1.00
10-20 07:48Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?BUY0.269999993$5.00
10-20 07:48Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21?BUY0.0367115749$3.00
07-14 04:05Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.337999987$9.00
07-13 18:52Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
07-13 14:20Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on July 13?BUY0.109$2.73
07-13 14:19Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 13?SELL0.9982072712$23.89
07-13 12:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 13?BUY0.329999952$2.89
07-13 08:32Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 13?BUY0.6265822719$15.00
07-13 05:06Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?SELL0.034$1.48
07-12 12:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.8$1.00
07-12 09:12Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12?SELL0.001$0.04
07-12 09:12Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?SELL0.02$0.43
07-12 07:48LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.23$3.45