2828KKF
0x2a759ad74b6a7df69e21110ec3f64a9311f2bc59
- Realised P&L
- $-99.21
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $14.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.330 | $6.11 | +$1.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.709 | 0.709 | $5.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.045 | $3.68 | +$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.07at 0.204Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?
- +$31.32at 0.566Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?
- +$29.95at 0.257Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$27.98at 0.424Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
- +$26.86at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:57 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7089999766 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.0367115749 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 04:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.337999987 | $9.00 |
| 07-13 18:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on July 13? | BUY | 0.109 | $2.73 |
| 07-13 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.9982072712 | $23.89 |
| 07-13 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.329999952 | $2.89 |
| 07-13 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.6265822719 | $15.00 |
| 07-13 05:06 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.48 |
| 07-12 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-12 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.43 |
| 07-12 07:48 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.23 | $3.45 |