ca-maple
0x2a72fe6d4731b7260ec10520fe001ab88f77a2ab
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $350.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,172
- Open portfolio
- $122.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,172
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.57at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$9.94at 0.463Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$8.73at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$8.42at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$8.42at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:59 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.234 | $16.93 |
| 09-18 06:56 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.285189858 | $86.55 |
| 09-18 03:35 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.05 | $35.90 |
| 09-18 03:35 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.75 |
| 09-17 22:06 | Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.173 | $6.12 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | SELL | 0.097029703 | $9.80 |
| 09-17 20:18 | Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.1509536913 | $31.49 |
| 09-15 20:32 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.2275757576 | $37.55 |
| 09-15 16:56 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.131 | $7.97 |
| 09-15 03:42 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 03:42 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.59 |
| 09-15 03:42 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 00:32 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.0445921141 | $16.57 |
| 09-14 18:08 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2436729217 | $90.25 |
| 09-14 12:26 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.145314701 | $5.20 |