PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ca-maple

0x2a72fe6d4731b7260ec10520fe001ab88f77a2ab

Realised P&L
$-10.1k
Volume
$350.4k
Markets traded
1,172
Open portfolio
$122.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,172
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat? · No0.0800.085$61.03+$3.59
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? · No0.1860.090$37.32$39.81
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.2900.105$17.09$30.12
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%? · Yes0.1300.060$3.89$4.46
Will Yash Patel come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.1850.004$2.08$93.94
Will Luis Felipe Romero Peña win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? · Yes0.1530.002$0.63$63.93
Will Gen.G Global Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2 · Yes0.2950.000$0.00$5.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$4.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00$4.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$4.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00$4.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$3.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$4.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:59Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?SELL0.234$16.93
09-18 06:56Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.285189858$86.55
09-18 03:35Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?SELL0.05$35.90
09-18 03:35Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?SELL0.25$6.75
09-17 22:06Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.173$6.12
09-17 22:02Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?SELL0.097029703$9.80
09-17 20:18Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.1509536913$31.49
09-15 20:32Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.2275757576$37.55
09-15 16:56Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?SELL0.131$7.97
09-15 03:42Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.08$4.00
09-15 03:42Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.08$4.59
09-15 03:42Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.08$4.00
09-15 00:32Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?SELL0.0445921141$16.57
09-14 18:08Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.2436729217$90.25
09-14 12:26Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?SELL0.145314701$5.20