Sinud
0x2a6d723a51e39c81c7ce9c0d6b18282c5e0a0a09
- Realised P&L
- $-4.15
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $4.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.130 | $3.12 | +$3.07 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.025 | $1.08 | −$1.46 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.00at 0.026Will Chicago record the first snowfall?
- +$6.78at 0.340Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
- +$6.65at 0.320Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
- +$6.00at 0.070Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
- +$5.92at 0.364Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 22:10 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 06-27 15:22 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 16:42 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.05 |
| 05-07 16:41 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 05-04 09:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 04-26 15:39 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.116 | $1.16 |
| 04-13 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $0.93 |
| 04-13 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 13? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $0.91 |
| 04-13 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.88 |
| 04-13 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.98 |
| 04-13 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 13? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.68 |
| 04-11 19:04 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 17:38 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 01-11 23:32 | Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 01-10 01:56 | US strike on Mexico by January 31? | BUY | 0.918 | $45.90 |