PolyBot

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Traders

Sinud

0x2a6d723a51e39c81c7ce9c0d6b18282c5e0a0a09

Realised P&L
$-4.15
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$4.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? · Yes0.0020.130$3.12+$3.07
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes0.0600.025$1.08$1.46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$1.29
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 22:10Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$3.00
06-27 15:22Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$3.00
05-07 16:42Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.998$14.05
05-07 16:41Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?SELL0.986$9.86
05-04 09:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.22$2.20
04-26 15:39Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.116$1.16
04-13 19:40Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 14?BUY0.2699998542$0.93
04-13 12:07Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 13?BUY0.0749999325$0.91
04-13 11:57Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 14?BUY0.4$1.88
04-13 11:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 14?BUY0.09$0.98
04-13 07:06Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 13?BUY0.56$2.68
04-11 19:04Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
03-16 17:38US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
01-11 23:32Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.43$2.15
01-10 01:56US strike on Mexico by January 31?BUY0.918$45.90