PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2a64e224a1192bba191d01549f58d320321fac07

Realised P&L
$0.56
Volume
$113.23
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$10.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.4800.815$2.85+$1.17
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3200.320$2.00+$0.00
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? · Yes0.4200.420$2.00+$0.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6100.485$1.59$0.41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7800.415$1.06$0.94
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · Yes0.2850.137$0.96$1.04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2300.026$0.23$1.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:41Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-03 16:39Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.32$2.00
08-03 08:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-03 00:16Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
08-02 16:11Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-02 04:06Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-01 20:05Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.284999933$2.00
08-01 12:05Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-01 03:44Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 19:43Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.7099999568$1.15
07-31 11:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6$1.83
07-30 21:06Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-30 05:16Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 20:25Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999626$1.53
07-29 07:29Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5199998953$1.59