Rustok
0x2a643dd16e5ab4dada15d6209bb668b956202392
- Realised P&L
- $-61.74
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $32.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.95at 0.363Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?
- +$4.85at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?
- +$3.25at 0.605Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 12?
- +$2.33at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12?
- +$1.49at 0.444Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.3799999501 | $1.98 |
| 10-13 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.68 |
| 10-13 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14? | BUY | 0.320498898 | $1.97 |
| 10-13 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.4199999745 | $1.98 |
| 10-13 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.98 |
| 10-13 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.995 | $10.95 |
| 10-13 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.98 |
| 10-13 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.4599999814 | $1.98 |
| 10-13 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2799999716 | $1.97 |
| 10-13 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.209999985 | $1.96 |
| 10-13 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.99 |
| 10-13 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2999999848 | $1.97 |
| 10-13 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.67 |
| 10-12 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.84 |
| 10-12 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.71 |