N.sam
0x2a58cb03e4934ca46d03d80a3e531879402fb808
- Realised P&L
- $-361.09
- Volume
- $548.7k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.767 | 0.670 | $1.2k | −$174.34 |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.165 | $969.60 | −$645.85 |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.265 | $415.32 | −$26.21 |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? · No | 0.346 | 0.350 | $284.04 | +$3.18 |
| Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.209 | $116.65 | +$53.29 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.135 | $68.16 | +$12.62 |
| Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.155 | $55.80 | +$6.90 |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.6M Iranian rials on October 31? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.029 | $4.33 | −$0.89 |
| Will USD be between 2.3M and 2.4M Iranian rials on October 31? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.006 | $0.38 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.126Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.447Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$1.3kat 0.440Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev
- +$1.1kat 0.380 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.367Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:36 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $50.50 |
| 10-11 14:35 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 10-11 03:31 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.3599999985 | $57.63 |
| 10-11 00:01 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $21.41 |
| 10-11 00:00 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.3409661017 | $201.17 |
| 10-10 13:25 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 10-10 11:55 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.91 | $454.98 |
| 10-10 11:52 | Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.097 | $1.73 |
| 10-10 11:51 | Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.1042931034 | $23.89 |
| 10-10 11:49 | Will USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31? | SELL | 0.004882488 | $0.26 |
| 10-10 11:49 | Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 10-10 11:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $7.31 |
| 10-10 11:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $26.47 |
| 10-09 22:20 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $449.99 |
| 10-09 20:08 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | SELL | 0.7064062887 | $456.51 |