PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

menezer

0x2a58a2b61a5bf7349cf7e106732be565241a7355

Realised P&L
$-34.74
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$1.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1080.051$1.43$1.57
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3670.009$0.16$6.80
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$3.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$5.00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$3.00
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$4.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-22 08:56Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.027$4.11
04-22 08:56Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.276$4.12
04-09 20:08Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3349999585$5.00
03-25 22:10Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.001$3.30
03-25 22:10Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?SELL0.0603452948$3.30
03-15 17:23Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.329999818$1.07
03-15 17:23Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?SELL0.355$1.07
03-11 09:22Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?BUY0.0362476163$1.98
03-11 08:55Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.1080970296$3.00
03-11 08:45Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0458603555$3.00
03-11 08:43Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.003$2.00
03-08 20:53Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.3671199808$6.96
03-08 20:53Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.53$6.96
03-08 20:39Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.5599999726$7.36
03-08 20:36US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.4799999808$5.00