menezer
0x2a58a2b61a5bf7349cf7e106732be565241a7355
- Realised P&L
- $-34.74
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.051 | $1.43 | −$1.57 |
| Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.009 | $0.16 | −$6.80 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.32at 0.036Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.332Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$0.00at 0.480US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.40at 0.560Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.88at 0.335Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 08:56 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.027 | $4.11 |
| 04-22 08:56 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.276 | $4.12 |
| 04-09 20:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3349999585 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 22:10 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.30 |
| 03-25 22:10 | Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.0603452948 | $3.30 |
| 03-15 17:23 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.329999818 | $1.07 |
| 03-15 17:23 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.355 | $1.07 |
| 03-11 09:22 | Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.0362476163 | $1.98 |
| 03-11 08:55 | Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? | BUY | 0.1080970296 | $3.00 |
| 03-11 08:45 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0458603555 | $3.00 |
| 03-11 08:43 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 03-08 20:53 | Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3671199808 | $6.96 |
| 03-08 20:53 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.96 |
| 03-08 20:39 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.5599999726 | $7.36 |
| 03-08 20:36 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |